| 1. Identificação | ||||
| Tipo de Referência | Artigo em Revista Científica (Journal Article) | |||
| Site | mtc-m21d.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Código do Detentor | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identificador | 8JMKD3MGP3W34T/46Q6222 | |||
| Repositório | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2022/04.29.14.24 (acesso restrito) | |||
| Última Atualização | 2022:04.29.14.24.00 (UTC) simone | |||
| Repositório de Metadados | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2022/04.29.14.24.01 | |||
| Última Atualização dos Metadados | 2023:01.03.16.46.05 (UTC) administrator | |||
| DOI | 10.3389/ffgc.2022.735017 | |||
| ISSN | 2624-893X | |||
| Chave de Citação | OliveiraSoBuGoOmRa:2022:DeFiIm | |||
| Título | Determinants of Fire Impact in the Brazilian Biomes  | |||
| Ano | 2022 | |||
| Mês | Mar. | |||
| Data de Acesso | 19 maio 2024 | |||
| Tipo de Trabalho | journal article | |||
| Tipo Secundário | PRE PI | |||
| Número de Arquivos | 1 | |||
| Tamanho | 6105 KiB | |||
| 2. Contextualização | ||||
| Autor | 1 Oliveira, Ubirajara 2 Soares Filho, Britaldo 3 Bustamante, Mercedes 4 Gomes, Letícia 5 Ometto, Jean Pierre Henry Balbaud 6 Rajao, Raoni | |||
| Grupo | 1 2 3 4 5 DIPE3-COGPI-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR | |||
| Afiliação | 1 Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG) 2 Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG) 3 Universidade de Brasília (UnB) 4 Universidade de Brasília (UnB) 5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 6 Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG) | |||
| Endereço de e-Mail do Autor | 1 ubiologia@yahoo.com.br 2 3 4 5 jean.ometto@inpe.br | |||
| Revista | Frontiers in Forests and Global Change | |||
| Volume | 5 | |||
| Páginas | e735017 | |||
| Histórico (UTC) | 2022-04-29 14:24:47 :: simone -> administrator :: 2022 2023-01-03 16:46:05 :: administrator -> simone :: 2022 | |||
| 3. Conteúdo e estrutura | ||||
| É a matriz ou uma cópia? | é a matriz | |||
| Estágio do Conteúdo | concluido | |||
| Transferível | 1 | |||
| Tipo do Conteúdo | External Contribution | |||
| Tipo de Versão | publisher | |||
| Palavras-Chave | modeling deforestation land use change protected areas native vegetation | |||
| Resumo | More and more, wildfires are raging in large parts of the world due to a warmer climate, more frequent and severe droughts, and continued land-use changes. In Brazil, the weakening of public environmental policies has further aggravated wildfires with widespread impacts across the country. Here, we investigated the determinants of the impact of fire in the Brazilian biomes using a dataset of burned areas between 2001 and 2019 to simulate its future impact under alternative policy and climate scenarios. We began by deriving a fire impact index using a principal component (PC) analysis comprising the variables: 1. fire intensity, 2. fire recurrence, 3. burned area size, 4. mean time interval between successive fires, and 5. predominance of fires in the dry season. We considered as High Impact Fires (HIF) those areas whose values of the first PC were above the 90th percentile. HIF occurred in the Amazon, Cerrado, and Pantanal, but not in the Atlantic Forest, Pampa, and Caatinga biomes. As the main drivers of HIF, our spatial autoregressive models (SAR) (Amazonia R-2 = 0.66, Pantanal R-2 = 0.86 and Cerrado R-2 = 0.79) indicated the climate (Amazon, 25%, Pantanal, 53%, and Cerrado, 56%) together with land-use change (Amazon, 75%, Pantanal, 25%, and Cerrado, 38%). Most HIF occurred in native vegetation remnants (NVR) (55% in the Amazon, 86% in the Pantanal and 94% in the Cerrado), especially in places close to areas deforested over the last two decades. Only in Pantanal fuel loads (dry biomass) play a major role in HIF (22% of explanation). In the Cerrado, it only accounted for 4% of the observed variability and in the Amazon, it was not a significant factor. Over the analyzed period, HIF imposed a loss of 23%, on average, on the NDVI response of the native vegetation in the Amazon, 19% in the Cerrado and 16% in the Pantanal, thus indicating physiological stress. Simulations of future climate and land-use change pointed to a dramatic increase in HIF by 2050. Under the RCP4.5 and strong environmental governance scenario, HIF in the Cerrado would expand from the current 3% of the biome to 15%, from 7 to 8% in the Pantanal and from 0.7 to 1.2% in the Amazon. In addition, the impact of fire would intensify in 95% of the Cerrado, 97% of the Amazon and 74% of the Pantanal. Effective public and private policies will be vital to mitigate the growing threat of HIF. In this sense, our spatially explicit models can help direct prevention and firefighting programs. | |||
| Área | CST | |||
| Arranjo | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção a partir de 2021 > COGPI > Determinants of Fire... | |||
| Conteúdo da Pasta doc | acessar | |||
| Conteúdo da Pasta source | não têm arquivos | |||
| Conteúdo da Pasta agreement |
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| 4. Condições de acesso e uso | ||||
| Arquivo Alvo | ffgc-05-735017.pdf | |||
| Grupo de Usuários | simone | |||
| Grupo de Leitores | administrator simone | |||
| Visibilidade | shown | |||
| Permissão de Leitura | deny from all and allow from 150.163 | |||
| Permissão de Atualização | não transferida | |||
| 5. Fontes relacionadas | ||||
| Unidades Imediatamente Superiores | 8JMKD3MGPCW/46L2FGP | |||
| Lista de Itens Citando | sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2022/04.04.04.47 2 | |||
| Divulgação | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; SCOPUS. | |||
| Acervo Hospedeiro | urlib.net/www/2021/06.04.03.40 | |||
| 6. Notas | ||||
| Campos Vazios | alternatejournal archivingpolicy archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label language lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes number orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url | |||
| 7. Controle da descrição | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | simone | |||
| atualizar | ||||